Some bets/predictions for the future.
AI
- Infra layer wins first, then the final vision is a very user-friendly app
- Time for work ↓, free time ↑
- 3–4 day work weeks, <6 hour work days
- People find real work-life balance, explore other interests
- Hobbies become structured
- Retreats. Meditation. Find more means for calm & meaning
- Focussed communities develop
Capitalism
- Gap between rich & poor ↑
- Growing unrest, push for charity, socialism ↑
- USA can lose its reserve currency status (WW3?)
- Unique human skills and specific knowledge stand out. <1% get disproportionately rewarded.
Social Media
- Authenticity beats AI replicability
- Creators rise multi-fold in value as:
- Free time ↑, people consume more content
- Marketing for consumer products becomes founder or social media creator driven
- High investment follows in creators and creator economy ancillaries
- Creators rise multi-fold in value as:
- We see a social media creator in the 500 richest people
- AI enables unlimited content produced based on user's personal tastes and feedback loops, hacks attention, dopamine — large portions of population addicted. (Big opportunity?)
Demographics
- Fertility rates ↓, DINK is the new sexy
- Richer countries (USA, China, Europe) see fertility drop faster than poorer countries (Change of power?)
- Millennials become the first tech-enabled aging population
- Elder care, old age retreats, communities ↑
- Tech products for elderly ↑
- Big opportunity for serving this section who is tech-enabled, and has a lot of money for which they have little use for
Biotech
- Genetic modifications in food becomes common
- Cosmetic surgeries, body modifications become common
- AR/VR gains popularity first, then eye implants, brain-computer interfaces change how we view "screens" (mobiles, laptops etc)
Green Energy
- Both a forced and much required change
- Solar dominates, before nuclear takes over (infinite energy?)
Crypto
- Loses out in value, some 5–10 crypto capture the entire market, rest everything dies a slow death
- Blockchain stays important, value ↑
- Crypto enables rails for shift in USA reserve currency?